Reasons why the Bank of Canada will keep interest rates low

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Thu, 09/04/2014 – 14:45

The Bank of Canada announced on September 3rd, 2014 that it was holding its trend-setting overnight lending rate at 1 per cent.

The Bank of Canada announced on September 3rd, 2014 that it was holding its trend-setting overnight lending rate at 1 per cent.

The overnight rate has not moved in four years. It’s likely that it will remain where it is for some time yet.  Why?

  1. Inflation is on target — Inflation recently increased and is tracking close to the Bank’s 2 per cent target. However, the Bank believes the increase reflects temporary factors and cited evidence in support of this in its policy rate announcement. As a result, it does not see interest rate hikes as being necessary to rein it in. Instead, the Bank thinks inflation will keep itself in check as temporary factors dissipate.
  2. Uncertainty remains high — While the U.S. economic recovery appears to be back on track after a dismal first quarter, European economic growth has faltered due in part to its trade sanctions with Russia. This means low interest rates are still needed to support Canadian economic growth while questions marks loom about the outlooks for global economic growth, demand for Canadian exports, and Canadian economic growth.
  3. Canadian exports need help from the currency exchange rate –The Bank rate announcement noted that “Canadian exports surged in the second quarter”. The reasons cited were strengthening U.S. investment and “the past depreciation of the Canadian dollar”. Hiking interest rates too soon would result in a stronger loonie and dampened Canadian exports. The Bank is counting on stronger exports to lift business investment and economic growth.
  4. Higher exports have not yet translated into stronger investment or hiring:The Bank was pleased to see the pickup in exports but noted, “While an increasing number of export sectors appear to be turning the corner toward recovery, this pickup will need to be sustained before it will translate into higher business investment and hiring.” As such, interest rates will need to remain stimulative in order to entice firms into increased investment and hiring even if exports remain strong.

With these reasons in mind, interest rates are unlikely to rise in the near future.

One notable change in language in the September 3rd announcement was the removal of any references to a soft landing in the housing market. This Bank said that the housing market has in fact remained stronger than previously anticipated and that risks associated with household imbalances have “not diminished”.

That said, it is possible that stronger U.S. growth, a surge in exports, and the current strength of the housing market could all reflect a rebound from weak performances this past winter, which was unusually harsh.

As such, the Bank said that it remains “neutral with respect to the next change of its policy rate”, and will wait for new information as regards their outlook and assessment of risks to economic growth and inflation.

As of September 3rd, 2014, the advertised five-year lending rate stood at 4.79 per cent, unchanged from the previous Bank rate announcement on July 16th, 2014 and down 0.55 percentage points from the same time one year ago.

The next interest rate announcement will be on October 22nd, 2014, and will be accompanied by an update to the Monetary Policy Report which contains the Bank’s outlook for the economy and inflation, risks to its economic projections, and an update to its estimate for potential Canadian economic growth.  

 

(CREA 9/3/2014)

The Canadian Real Estate Association announces launch of .REALTOR top-level-domain

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Mon, 08/18/2014 – 16:00

August 18, Ottawa, ON

Beginning on October 23rd, a new .REALTOR top-level-domain (TLD) will be made available to members of The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) in Canada, and members of the National Association of Realtors® (NAR) in the U.S.

Beginning on October 23rd, a new .REALTOR top-level-domain (TLD) will be made available to members of The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) in Canada, and members of the National Association of Realtors® (NAR) in the U.S.

The majority of homebuyers begin their searches online, and a .REALTOR TLD will allow members of CREA to stand out from other real estate professionals. It will also ensure consumers know they are dealing with licenced real estate professionals who adhere to CREA’s Code of Ethics.

“We are excited to offer this new and unique branding opportunity to our members,” said Beth Crosbie, president of CREA. “A .REALTOR domain communicates the positive attributes of trust, professionalism and community that consumers associate with the REALTOR® name.”

The new .REALTOR TLD will be made available to Canadian REALTORS®, their local boards and their provincial associations through an agreement that CREA has entered into with NAR.

National Association of Realtors® began the TLD application process eight years ago through the Internet Corporation for Assigned Names and Numbers (ICANN), the organization that coordinates domains and Internet Protocol addresses globally. CREA is NAR’s exclusive marketing partner and responsible for the .REALTOR domain in Canada.

“NAR is one of the first associations that has been approved to offer a TLD exclusively for its membership, demonstrating our organization’s commitment to its members and showcasing the value of the REALTOR® brand,” stated Steve Brown, president of NAR. “When consumers visit a .REALTOR website, they will know that they have reached a source of comprehensive and accurate real estate information, as well as someone with unparalleled insight into the local market.”

CREA will provide the first 10,000 members who register for a .REALTOR TLD with a free one-year licence on a first-come first-served basis.

The Canadian Real Estate Association is one of Canada’s largest single-industry trade associations, representing more than 111,000 REALTORS® working through some 90 real estate boards and associations.

The National Association of Realtors®, “The Voice for Real Estate” is America’s largest trade association representing 1 million members involved in all aspects of the residential and commercial real estate industries.

Bank of Canada signals low rates for longer

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Wed, 07/16/2014 – 16:50 The Bank of Canada announced on July 16th, 2014 that it was keeping its trend-setting overnight lending rate at 1 per cent.   The Bank of Canada announced on July 16th, 2014 that it was keeping its trend-setting overnight lending rate at 1 per cent. The overnight rate has not moved… Read more »

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CREA Updates Resale Housing Forecast

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Buying

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The bottom line is that buying real estate in Canada is very easy. From a residency point of view, if you plan to stay in Canada for 6 months or less each year, the government considers you a non-resident, which means that you can still open a bank account and buy property, etc. If you… Read more »